|
Table 1. Degree-Day Weekly Accumulation |
|
|
2004 |
2003 |
2002 |
13-Yr Ave |
|
Sept 20 - 26 |
109 |
60 |
49 |
52 |
|
Forcasted Sept 27 - 03 |
42 |
|
|
|
|
|
Table 2. 2004 Degree-Day % of Average (by planting date) |
|
|
10-Apr |
15-Apr |
20-Apr |
25-Apr |
30-Apr |
05-May |
10-May |
Ave |
|
last week |
96% |
96% |
95% |
95% |
94% |
95% |
93% |
95% |
|
this week |
96% |
96% |
95% |
95% |
95% |
95% |
93% |
95% |
Corn development
Most corn across the region has reached physiological maturity.
Harvest of high moisture corn for feed has occurred and early yield
reports appear to be very positive.

Dry down rates of
corn. Once physiological
maturity has been reached, the rate of in-field dry down will determine
when harvest maturity is reached. Corn specialists from several
Midwestern states (Peter Thomison from Ohio State University, Dale Hick;
University of MN, and Bob Nielsen; Purdue) describe corn dry-down rates
as follows:
-
Corn will
normally dry approximately 3/4 to 1 point of moisture per day during
favorable drying weather (sunny and breezy) during the early warmer
part of the harvest season from mid to late September.
-
Early to
mid-October, dry-down rates will usually drop to 1/2 to 3/4% per
day.
Estimating dry-down
rates can also be considered in terms of Growing Degree-Days (GDDs). It
takes about 30 GDDs to lower grain moisture each point from 30% down to
25%. Drying from 25 to 20 percent requires about 45 GDDs per point of
moisture.
* Dry down rates were derived from
studies in other states, therefore they may be different for west IA,
but they are a good baseline to work from.
|
Estimated Corn "In-Field" Dry-Down |
|
|
Current Moisture Between |
|
|
30% - 25% |
25% - 20% |
|
|
Moisture lost (%) |
|
Last Week |
3.6 |
2.4 |
|
This Week |
1.4 |
0.9 |
Additional
discussion of corn dry-down can be obtained from a 2001 article prepared
by Dr. Bob Nielsen, extension agronomist at Purdue - in the "Chat n'
Chew Café." It's available on-line:
http://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/corn/news/articles.01/Grain_Drydown-0826.html
Harvest losses –
rules of thumb.
Corn Harvest
Losses
-
2 kernels per sq. ft. equal one bu/a loss.
-
One ear per 125 ft of 30-in row equals one bu/a
loss.
-
One ear per 100 ft of 38-in row equals one bu/a
loss.
Soybean Harvest Losses
Tips for Evaluating Corn Hybrid
Demonstration Plots – In the
C.O.R.N. newsletter, by Peter Thomison
http://corn.osu.edu/story.php?setissueID=56&storyID=296
Weather Outlook
and comments by Elwynn Taylor, ISU Extension Climatologist, Sept. 22, 2004
-
May - August 2004
was anomalously cool. The July-August period of 1992 was colder and a
record high corn yield was realized. Soybean yield was near record.
September was warmer than usual both years.
-
Late September and
early October is expected to be “warm and dry.”
-
The 19-year cycle of
weather risk to agricultural production is transitioning into the
high-risk 6-year period. Historically there are 2 serious Corn Belt
droughts during the six years, a 1 in 3 risk of drought for any given
year. This is compared with the previous 12 years when the historical
drought risk was 1 in 12. The 400% increase in historical drought risk
makes modification of risk management procedures advisable.
-
A weak El Niño is
possible in fall of 2004. This would likely result in favorable fall
moisture and temperatures less likely to be extremely cold through the
Midwest winter. El Niño events tend to persist for an average of 14
months. There is no record of widespread drought during an El Niño event
in the U.S. Corn Belt. Accordingly, for the 2005-2010 period, the
historical drought risk is less than 1 in 3 if an El Niño is in place
and is greater if a La Niña develops.
-
There are no
indicators of widespread drought in the Corn Belt for 2005. There is one
indicator, warm sea surface temperature north of Hawaii, of a return to
drought in the High Plains and the Intermountain West.
-
With no strong
trends in place yields for 2005 are expected to exceed the trend by 2%
(about 41 bu/a nationally for Soybean and 145 bu/a for Corn).
Pest Management
Although soybean aphids were not
near the problem in 2004 as they were in 2003, many fields were treated in
some areas of west-central and N.W. Iowa. And just like last year, in order
to determine if insecticide treatments paid for themselves, collection of
yield information on treated vs. non treated areas is essential. Therefore,
if you have the data, and the time, please take a moment to take the
Soybean Aphid “Treated vs. Non-Treated” soybean yield survey. This
information will be very valuable in future seasons when the aphid problem
presents itself again.
Please find the “Treated
vs. Non-Treated” on-line and printable form at these URL’s:
On-line form:
http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/aphid_treatment_form.htm
Printable Form:
http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/Soybean%20Aphid%20Insecticide%20Treatment%20Survey.pdf
Refer back to the “Aphid
Page” for survey results (http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/soybean-aphid.htm).