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ISU Extension Logo

Northwest Iowa Crop Update Newsletter
by Todd Vagts
ISU Extension Crops Specialist
Counties Served:  Carroll, Calhoun, Crawford, Ida, Monona, Pocahontas and Sac.

   
[Home][Special Topics][Weather Data][Subsoil H20][PDF Info] [ISU Extension][IA State University]
 

Volume 4, Number 29

Northwest IA Crop Update, September 27, 2004
Print or view this newsletter in  PDF or Microsoft Word format.

In this issue

bullet Near record warm September
bullet Corn dry-down rates
bullet Avoid harvest losses
bullet Weather comments
bullet Take the soybean aphid treated vs. non-treated yield survey

 

Introduction
Harvest of the soybean crop is well underway with excellent harvest conditions (so far).  Harvest of high moisture corn has also started.  Yield reports in both crops look to be very good at this point.  As you begin the harvest season, pay close attention to potential machinery and moisture harvest losses.  Be sure all equipment is properly calibrated and pay close attention to grain moisture.  Taking the extra few minutes to fine tune harvest and drying equipment will quickly pay for itself.  And most importantly, pay close attention to safety in and around harvesting equipment, on the road, and at the farm site.

Row-Crop and Forage Information
Growing Degree-day It appears that the month of September will record more degree-days than August (498 vs. 472).  September (2004) will also record the 2nd most degree-days for this month in the last 13 years.  Only 1998 produced more degree-days in September, yielding 536 DD Last week, 109 degree-days were recorded, much above the average of 52.  A cooler week is forecasted with an estimated 42 degree-days to be recorded over the next 7 days.  Seasonal total degree day accumulations for April and early May planting dates continue to improve when compared to the 13-year average (93 to 96% of normal).  West-Central IA will end the season with about 150 degree-days below normal.  Degree-days (average for NW Iowa) can be accessed at this web site:  http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/degree-days-2004.htm

Table 1.  Degree-Day Weekly Accumulation
  2004 2003 2002 13-Yr Ave
Sept 20 - 26 109 60 49 52
Forcasted Sept 27 - 03 42      


 

  Table 2.  2004 Degree-Day % of Average (by planting date)
  10-Apr 15-Apr 20-Apr 25-Apr 30-Apr 05-May 10-May Ave
last week 96% 96% 95% 95% 94% 95% 93% 95%
this week 96% 96% 95% 95% 95% 95% 93% 95%

Corn development  Most corn across the region has reached physiological maturity.  Harvest of high moisture corn for feed has occurred and early yield reports appear to be very positive. 

graph

Dry down rates of corn.  Once physiological maturity has been reached, the rate of in-field dry down will determine when harvest maturity is reached.  Corn specialists from several Midwestern states (Peter Thomison from Ohio State University, Dale Hick; University of MN, and Bob Nielsen; Purdue) describe corn dry-down rates as follows:

  • Corn will normally dry approximately 3/4 to 1 point of moisture per day during favorable drying weather (sunny and breezy) during the early warmer part of the harvest season from mid to late September.

  • Early to mid-October, dry-down rates will usually drop to 1/2 to 3/4% per day.

Estimating dry-down rates can also be considered in terms of Growing Degree-Days (GDDs). It takes about 30 GDDs to lower grain moisture each point from 30% down to 25%. Drying from 25 to 20 percent requires about 45 GDDs per point of moisture.
* Dry down rates were derived from studies in other states, therefore they may be different for west IA, but they are a good baseline to work from.

Estimated Corn "In-Field" Dry-Down
  Current Moisture Between
  30% - 25% 25% - 20%
  Moisture lost (%)
Last Week 3.6 2.4
This Week 1.4 0.9

Additional discussion of corn dry-down can be obtained from a 2001 article prepared by Dr. Bob Nielsen, extension agronomist at Purdue - in the "Chat n' Chew Café."  It's available on-line: http://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/corn/news/articles.01/Grain_Drydown-0826.html

Harvest losses – rules of thumb.

Corn Harvest Losses

  • 2 kernels per sq. ft. equal one bu/a loss.

  • One ear per 125 ft of 30-in row equals one bu/a loss.

  • One ear per 100 ft of 38-in row equals one bu/a loss.


Soybean Harvest Losses
  • 4 soybeans per square foot equal one bu/a loss.

  • Be sure to include soybeans in uncut stubble.


Tips for Evaluating Corn Hybrid Demonstration Plots – In the C.O.R.N. newsletter, by Peter Thomison  http://corn.osu.edu/story.php?setissueID=56&storyID=296

Weather Outlook and comments by Elwynn Taylor, ISU Extension Climatologist, Sept. 22, 2004

  • May - August 2004 was anomalously cool. The July-August period of 1992 was colder and a record high corn yield was realized. Soybean yield was near record. September was warmer than usual both years.

  • Late September and early October is expected to be “warm and dry.”

  • The 19-year cycle of weather risk to agricultural production is transitioning into the high-risk 6-year period. Historically there are 2 serious Corn Belt droughts during the six years, a 1 in 3 risk of drought for any given year. This is compared with the previous 12 years when the historical drought risk was 1 in 12. The 400% increase in historical drought risk makes modification of risk management procedures advisable.

  • A weak El Niño is possible in fall of 2004. This would likely result in favorable fall moisture and temperatures less likely to be extremely cold through the Midwest winter. El Niño events tend to persist for an average of 14 months. There is no record of widespread drought during an El Niño event in the U.S. Corn Belt. Accordingly, for the 2005-2010 period, the historical drought risk is less than 1 in 3 if an El Niño is in place and is greater if a La Niña develops.

  • There are no indicators of widespread drought in the Corn Belt for 2005. There is one indicator, warm sea surface temperature north of Hawaii, of a return to drought in the High Plains and the Intermountain West.

  • With no strong trends in place yields for 2005 are expected to exceed the trend by 2% (about 41 bu/a nationally for Soybean and 145 bu/a for Corn).

Pest Management
Although soybean aphids were not near the problem in 2004 as they were in 2003, many fields were treated in some areas of west-central and N.W. Iowa.  And just like last year, in order to determine if insecticide treatments paid for themselves, collection of yield information on treated vs. non treated areas is essential.  Therefore, if you have the data, and the time, please take a moment to take the Soybean Aphid “Treated vs. Non-Treated” soybean yield survey.  This information will be very valuable in future seasons when the aphid problem presents itself again.

Please find the “Treated vs. Non-Treated” on-line and printable form at these URL’s:

On-line form:  http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/aphid_treatment_form.htm 

Printable Form: http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/Soybean%20Aphid%20Insecticide%20Treatment%20Survey.pdf

Refer back to the “Aphid Page” for survey results (http://www.extension.iastate.edu/carroll/crops/soybean-aphid.htm).


 

Print or view this newsletter in PDF or Microsoft Word format.

Todd Vagts
Iowa State University Extension
Field Crops Specialist
1240 D. Heires Avenue 
Carroll, IA 51401 
Office: 712-792-2364; Cell: 712-249-6025;  Fax: 712-792-2366
Email: vagts@iastate.edu  

For questions or comments please respond to vagts@iastate.edu

The information given in this publication is for educational purposes only.
Reference to commercial products is made with the understanding that no
discrimination is intended and no endorsement by Iowa State University with
any specific product(s) used in this is implied

This page last updated on 09/29/04

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