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In this issue
Soybean Rust – The Good, the Bad, and the Unknown
Beef News
Pig Space Requirement for Maximum Gain
Developing a Grain Marketing Plan
Soybean Rust – The
Good, the Bad and the Unknown
Paul
Kassel, ISU Extension Crops Field Specialist
There has been much discussion on soybean
rust this winter. Discussions have ranged from facts to fear to all kinds
of predictions. The following are some points about what is known and what
is not known about soybean rust.
What we know:
-
soybean rust
does not exist in North America.
-
soybean rust
will not over winter in NW Iowa.
-
Soybean rust
will likely occur in the southern US before it occurs in Iowa.
-
We will be
able to check fields for the occurrence of soybean rust.
-
Information on
air temperature, humidity levels, southerly wind currents and leaf wetness
may be used to predict the occurrence of soybean rust.
Some good news:
-
soybean rust
is a major problem of soybeans worldwide and therefore seed companies are
working on varietal resistance and chemical companies are working on new
fungicides.
-
effective
fungicides are available in the US.
-
the fungicides
available to control soybean rust are not Restricted Use Pesticides.
-
rust will
likely be a mid-summer to late summer problem.
-
one or two
fungicide applications may be sufficient for control.
The bad news:
-
rust could
occur in Iowa sometime in the future, because the temperature and humidity
levels are favorable for the disease.
-
yield loss
and/or increased cost of production will occur if the disease does arrive.
-
the cost of
the fungicide alone may be $12.00 to $25.00 per acre.
-
fungicide
supply may be a problem and spray equipment needs may not be adequate for
timely application if soybean rust occurs widespread.
-
a need for
training so that everyone involved in soybean production will be able to
identify soybean rust and other similar looking diseases.
Unknowns:
-
when and if
the disease will arrive in
Iowa.
-
the amount of
yield loss that may occur.
-
how many
fungicide applications will be necessary?
-
spraying
equipment may need to be changed with different nozzles, directed spray
nozzles, etc.
-
fungicide
selection and fungicide cost.
-
will South
American visitors import the disease?
-
will whole
soybean or soybean meal imports introduce the disease?
Beef News
Beth Ellen Doran, ISU Extension
Beef Field Specialist
Optaflexx - has been
approved by the Food and Drug Administration to be fed in combination with
Rumensin and Tylan.
Publication - ISU has a new publication, Best Environmental
Management Practices for Open Feedlots (PM 1946) that discusses management
practices to minimize the feedlot impact on soil, water, and air of the
surrounding area. There are tips on lot construction, maintenance and
runoff control and a best management checklist for open feedlots. The
publication ($.50 each) is available at your County Extension Office.
Air Quality - The Iowa Department of
Natural Resources is proposing a Health Effects Value and Health Effects
Standard for hydrogen sulfide. A copy of the proposed rules can be accessed
at <http://www.iowadnr.com/air/afo/afo.html>.
Written comments must be received no later than April 8, 2004 and should be
directed to Bryan Bunton, Iowa Department of Natural Resources, Air Quality
Bureau, 7900 Hickman Road, Suite 1, Urbandale, IA 50322, Fax (515) 242-5094,
or by electronic mail to: bryan.bunton@dnr.state.ia.us.
Benchmarking - This is the first of three articles that
deals with benchmarking, a tool that can be used to evaluate feedlot
performance, and that summarizes a couple of the key closeout items over a
fifteen-year period (1988-2002) for Iowa and surrounding feedlots. The data
contained averages of closeouts by class (starting weight) and by quarter.
These summaries are available on-line at
<http://www.extension.iastate.edu/Pages/ansci/feedlot/>.
Average daily gain has improved approximately .03 pound per day each year
for incoming steers weighing 600-800 pounds. For heavier feeder steers, the
improvement was approximately .02 pound per day of daily gain each year.
Over the fifteen years and all classes of cattle, daily gain improved
approximately 1% per year.
Feed conversion had a similar trend. The average improvement per year in
feed conversion was .035 and .04 less pounds of dry matter needed for one
pound of gain for 600-800 pound and heavy (>800-pound) feeder steers,
respectively. Feed conversion improved approximately 1/2 to 1% per year
over the fifteen years.
BIF Meeting - The 36th annual meeting of the Beef Improvement
Federation (BIF) will be May 25-28 at the Sioux Falls Convention Center in
Sioux Falls, SD. Tuesday evening sessions
include topics on reproductive technologies, transgenics and the use of DNA
fingerprinting.
Wednesday morning features new technologies, multi-trait selection and
leverage points for profit. The afternoon session has breakout sessions on
genetic prediction, producer application and live animal and carcass
endpoints.
Thursday's program discusses how to meet demands, the expectations of end
users and the cost of meeting consumer demands. Dr. Dan Moser, Kansas State University, will present
results from the National Cattlemen's Beef Association tenderness project.
The afternoon program includes round table discussions on cowherd
efficiency, emerging technologies and selection decisions.
On Friday, there will be two tours. Tour 1 includes a Limousin operation
(Peterson Ranch), Jorgenson Land and Cattle, a large-scale commercial
feedlot (Winner Circle) and a popular bull stud (Dakota Sire Service). Tour
2 will include Trans Ova Genetics, Haverhals feedlot, a Maine Anjou
operation and winner of an Environmental Stewardship Award (Nagel Cattle
Company), and a family farm and commercial Angus operation (Namminga Farms).
For information on the BIF meeting, visit: <http://www.BIF2004.com>.
Pig Space Requirement
for Maximum Gain
Dave
Stender, ISUE Swine Field Specialist
A paper was presented at the Midwestern
Section of the American Society of Animal Science at the Midwest meeting in Des Moines on March
16, 2004. Abstract number six developed a model to determine the floor
space requirement of growing pigs. The model is based on a number of
studies that looked at space allocated per pig in relation to daily gain,
feed intake and feed conversion. The constant(k) was found by the equation
k=A/BW2/3, where A is the space allowance in square meters and BW
is body weight in kilograms to the 2/3 power. Average daily gain was
maximized until space restrictions started to limit gain.
The constant was determined to be close to
.0337, in some studies the constant was a bit lower, .0327 for partial
slates and .0315 for nurseries. An approximate value of the constant was
.034, converted to feet and pounds is about .216. The resulting equation
can then be used to calculate the minimum space needed to maximize both
growth rate and feed intake. Feed conversion is not impacted by space; pigs
simply eat less and grow slower.
The equation to calculate the amount of space
requirement the pigs need for maximum growth is
A = K * BW2/3 where A is area and
BW is body weight to the 2/3 power. Using the equation a 200 pound pig
would be A (area in sq. ft.) = .216 * 2002/3. The answer
calculates that a 200 pound pig would maximize gain and feed intake if it
had 7.4 sq. ft. of floor space.
A thousand head of 200 pound pigs would need
7400 sq. ft. of floor space. If the top 20% were marketed at that point the
remaining 800 head would have the same 7400 sq. ft. After topping the pen,
the space per pig increases to 9.25 sq. ft. per head from 7.4 sq. ft.
Table 1 - Shows the space requirements in sq.
ft. for a variety of weights using the equation.
|
Pig Weight |
Space need (Sq ft) |
|
50 |
2.9 |
|
100 |
4.7 |
|
150 |
6.1 |
|
200 |
7.4 |
|
250 |
8.6 |
|
300 |
10.7 |
Limiting space by 3% will reduce the daily
gain by 1% resulting in more time required to achieve market weights.
Developing a Grain
Marketing Plan
Tom
Olsen, ISUE Farm Management Field Specialist
Wow, what a run-up we’ve had in the grains
this winter. For the first time in several years, we have been able to sell
grains at significantly profitable levels. Tight supplies both at the local
level and globally have created tremendous price strength across the US but
also very narrow basis levels as elevators and processors are bidding up to
fill local needs. With these higher prices, we have had more volatility as
well. The old-crop cash bids are much higher than the bids for new-crop fall
delivery. All of these factors make marketing decisions even more
stressful. Those two market movers, “fear and greed” can creep into
decision-making.
Over the past few months, the ISUE Farm
Management Field Specialists in a joint program with Farm Bureau have
presented an interactive workshop called “Winning the Game”, examining
pre-harvest marketing strategies. The main goal of the workshop is to help
producers develop an organized and disciplined way to build and use a
marketing plan with an emphasis on pre-harvest marketing strategies. Of
course, the ultimate goal is to add a few cents to the average sale price of
each bushel sold per year. For example, a 10 cent increase in the price of
corn in a few of the past years has been equivalent to the projected net
profit for that year.
Why Pre-harvest
There are many reasons to add
pre-harvest sales to the marketing tool box. Long term seasonal price trends
are one of the biggest reasons. Over the past 20 years, from May to October
of each year, the price of corn has decreased 70% of the time an average of
$.38. Soybeans have declined 63% of the time an average of $.85. One of the
fears in pre-harvest sales is a poor local crop in the face of higher fall
prices. This risk can be partially offset with the use of Federal Crop
Insurance revenue protection tools with harvest price options.
Marketing Tools
Simple tools can be used to enact
a successful marketing plan. Fixed price tools include a cash forward
contract which fixes both the price and basis. Basis is the difference
between the futures price and cash price. Another fixed price tool is the
hedge using commodity futures. A futures contract is sold through a broker
to lock in a price but not basis. This contract is bought back when the
grain is sold to a local elevator. A third fixed price tool is a futures
fixed or hedge-to-arrive (for one crop year). The futures fixed contract is
done through a local elevator where the futures price is fixed and the basis
is locked in at a later time prior to harvest. Each of these fixed price
tools limits both downside risk and upside potential.
Minimum price tools which will capture a
portion of the upside potential can include using the options market. These
minimum price tools and the four key elements of a marketing plan will be
discussed in the May issue of Field and Feedlot.
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