January 05, 2005
Into the Future

Ed Felten of Freedom to Tinker gives his predictions for 2005, including:

    (1) DRM technology, especially on PCs, will be seen increasingly as a security and privacy risk to end users.

    (2) Vonage and other leading VoIP vendors will start to act like incumbents, welcoming regulation of their industry sector.

    (3) Internet Explorer will face increasing competitive pressure from Mozilla Firefox. Microsoft's response will be hamstrung by its desire to maintain the fiction that IE is an integral part of the operating system.

    (4) As blogs continue to grow in prominence, we'll see consolidation in the blog world, with major bloggers either teaming up with each other or affiliating with major news outlets or web sites.

    (5) A TV show or movie that is distributed only on the net will become a cult hit.

Posted by dcoates at January 05, 2005 11:25 AM