CHAPTER 2. SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC DESCRIPTION OF CITIES
Bayard
Demographic Profile
The city of Bayard is located within the county of Guthrie with a population
of 532 persons according to the 1990 US census. A non-farming rural community,
its population is predominantly white with nonwhite constituting less than
1 percent. The profile of Bayard is not too different from that of many other
small non-farming rural communities in the state of Iowa. It lost nearly
16 percent of its population from 1980 to 1990. This steady decline in population
and out-migration is typical of many other small cities in the state. This
steady population loss impacts local small businesses, quality of life and
the population dynamics of the community. For Bayard, the population decline
is more critical given that from 1980 to 1990, the working age cohort, 18-64
age group registered a 16 percent decline. This means that the young and
able are out-migrating living behind a community that is less able to grow,
a declining tax base and a population that is increasingly elderly.
HAVE YOU INCLUDED A TABLE THAT INCLUDES
THESE
NUMBERS?
Figure 2.1. Trend of population change for two age cohorts, Bayard.
As can be seen from Figure 1, in 1980, 294 residents were in the age cohort
of 18-64 which is considered the working age. This age cohort productive
and forms the labor pool of the economic life of a community.
THIS SENTENCE NEEDS TO BE REWRITTEN
... For Bayard, 1990, the number in this age cohort
declined to 246, almost 16 percent decline. When this age cohort is desegregated
into 18-44 and 45-64, the data shows that the reproductive age group, 18-44,
lost 18 percent of its population within a-10-year period. The 45-64 cohort
lost 14 percent. It appears that the younger residents are more likely to
migrate in search of better opportunities and amenities in urban areas both
within the state and outside the state.
Length of Residency
For years of residence in the community, about 42 percent of the adults
in Bayard have lived there for at least 30 years. About 16 percent have lived
in the community for less than 10 years. For those residents who are 40-years-and
-over, 45 percent of them have lived there for at least 30 years. Years of
residence is therefore associated with the age of the residents in the community.
Nearly six out of every ten adult in this community have lived in their current
neighborhood for at least 30 years. This shows that there is some mobility
of residence within Bayard.
Figure 2.2. Comparison of Male and Female Population from 1980-1990, Bayard.
According to US Census, Bayards population in 1990 shows that 53 percent
were female and 47 percent were male. In 1980, the it was 55 percent female
and 45 percent male. This shows a marginal gain in population by the female
subgroup. This gain or increase is more within the elderly population. For
the 65-plus age group, from 1980 to 1990, the there was a percentage gain
by the female population. The median age of this community is 52 years in
1990 while in 1980, it was 43.
Approximately, 35 percent of its population is considered senior, that is,
they constitute the age group of 65-plus. For the city of Bayard, more than
one out of every three citizen is already a senior citizen. When the age
cohort 44-64 is combined with the 65-plus, the percentage increases to almost
55. This senior citizen age group and the next cohort will impact the housing
needs of this community with time. THE "NEXT
COHORT" THAT YOU REFER TO IS THE PRERETIREMENT GROUP, 55 YRS. AND
OVER.
Figure 2.3. Population changes for the City of Bayard between 1980 and 1990.
From Figure 3 it can be seen that for the age cohort 0-17, 165 residents
were in this age category in 1980 compared to 101 residents in 1990. The
decrease here is very steep and substantial. It is possible that this loss
is associated with fertility decline combined with out-migration of the younger
families who have less social ties in the community. The city of Bayard lost
almost 40 percent of its residents in this age category in the period under
study. The reverse is the case for the 65-plus, which had an increase of
7 persons.
When asked reasons for living in this community, half of the residents identified
growing up in Bayard as a major reason. Only 4 percent and 26 percent identified
care for an aging relative or affordable housing as reasons for living in
the community. However, 46 percent chose closeness to relatives and in-laws
as reason for living in the community.
Table 2.1. Population characteristics of the city
of Bayard
| Population characteristics |
1980 |
1990 |
| Total persons |
637 |
532 |
| Median age |
43 |
52 |
| Total number of males |
290 |
250 |
| Total number of females |
347 |
282 |
| White population |
637 |
525 |
| Others, nonwhite |
0 |
7 |
| Persons 0 - 17 age group |
165 |
101 |
| Persons 18 - 44 age group |
169 |
138 |
| Persons 45 - 64 age group |
125 |
108 |
| Persons 60 - 64 age group |
40 |
25 |
| Persons 65+ age group |
178 |
185 |
| Persons 85+ age group |
32 |
35 |
| Female, divorced/widowed |
95 |
76 |
| Male, divorced/widowed |
27 |
32 |
THE TABLE ABOVE IS VERY GOOD; ADD A THIRD COLUMN
THAT INCLUDES PERCENT CHANGE FROM 1980 TO 1990.
Housing
The housing stock showed a decrease of 23 units from 1980 to 1990. Older
housing stock will require modifications and remodeling so as to meet the
needs of the seniors increasingly with time. Other housing strategies will
need to be adopted in order to address the needs and concerns of this age
cohort of the population. Future home constructions will also be designed
with the needs of this age group in mind.
Total Housing Units
There was a net decrease in Bayard of 23 housing units from 1980 to 1990.
In 1990, the total number of housing units were 251. This reduction in the
housing stock of the city is as a result of very few new homes being constructed.
NO, THE REDUCTION IN ACTUAL NUMBERS MUST BE DUE
TO DEMOLITION. THE REDUCTION IN TOTAL NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS DOES NOT TELL
US ANYTHING ABOUT THE NUMBER OF HOUSES CONSTRUCTED.
Construction of moderate-priced homes is not considered profitable
by many developers in many small towns in Iowa. This is because of the prevailing
low rents and the low income of the residents.
Type of Housing Units
Of the 251 total housing units, 205 units were of single family detached
home. This represents nearly 82 percent. Owner occupied units numbered 177
units while renter occupied units were 47. Almost 52 percent of all the housing
stock in the city were built before 1940. Age of housing stock is one of
the indicators of the quality and condition of the housing stock. This high
percentage of an aging stock demonstrates the low construction activities
in this housing market.
Pricing of Housing
The median value of owner-occupied housing unit in Bayard for 1990 was
$16,400. In 1980, the value was $21,500. Between 1980 and 1990, the median
value of owner-occupied housing unit decreased by $4,100.
Vacancy Rate
In 1990, the census-determined vacancy rate for the city of Bayard was
10.8 percent. It is possible that this vacancy rate is a little lower than
the actual rate indicating a tighter housing market.
Table 2.2. Housing Characteristics of Bayard
| Housing characteristics |
1980 |
1990 |
| Total housing units |
274 |
251 |
| Occupied housing units |
253 |
224 |
| Vacant housing units |
21 |
27 |
| Owner occupied housing units |
|
177 |
| Renter occupied housing units |
64 |
47 |
| Single family units |
|
205 |
| Median year built |
|
1939 |
| Units built before 1940 |
|
132 |
| Median value, owner units |
$21,500 |
$16,400 |
| Median gross rent |
$85 |
$254 |
I PRESUME THE CELLS THAT ARE MISSING WERE
UNAVAILABLE, BUT THIS SEEMS UNLIKELY.
Guthrie Center
Demographic Profile
The city of Guthrie Center is located within the county of Guthrie with
a population of 1614 persons according to the 1990 US census. A non-farming
rural community, its population is predominantly white with nonwhite constituting
less than 1 percent. The profile of Guthrie center is not too different from
that of many other small non-farming rural communities in the state of Iowa.
It lost nearly 6 percent of its population from 1980 to 1990.
This steady decline in population and out-migration is typical of many other
small cities in the state. This steady population loss impacts local small
businesses, quality of life and the population dynamics of the community.
For Guthrie Center, the population decline was most for the age cohort 45-64
which sustained a 27 percent loss from 1980 to 1990. The working age cohort,
18-64 age group registered a 9 percent decline over the same period of time.
This means that the young and able are out-migrating living behind a community
that is less able to grow, a declining tax base and a population that is
increasingly elderly.
Figure 2.4. Trend of population change for two age cohorts, Guthrie Center.
As can be seen from Figure 1, in 1980, 814 residents were in the age cohort
of 18-64 which is considered the working age. This age cohort productive
and forms the labor pool of the economic life of a
community. THE PREVIOUS SENTENCE IS UNCLEAR AND
NEEDS REWRITING. For Guthrie Center, in 1990, the number in
this age cohort declined to 739, almost 9 percent decline. When this age
cohort is desegregated into 18-44 and 45-64, the data shows that the reproductive
age group, 18-44, had a 7 percent gain in population within a-10-year period.
The 45-64 cohort lost 27 percent. It appears that this later age cohort is
making the decision to migrate in search of better opportunities and amenities
in urban areas both within the state and outside the state.
YOUR CONCLUSION HERE IS NOT ENTIRELY ACCURATE,
GIVEN THE 7% GAIN IN THE AGE GROUP 18 TO 44 YEARS. I THINK, PERHAPS YOU WERE
COPYING TO CLOSELY YOUR FORMAT FROM
BAYARD?
Figure 2.5. Comparison of Male and Female Population, 1980-90, Guthrie Center.
According to US Census, Guthrie Centers population in 1990 shows that
56 percent were female and 44 percent were male. In 1980, the it was 58 percent
female and 42 percent male. This shows a marginal loss in population by the
female subgroup. The elderly population had very little increase in population.
Actually, this subgroup declined by 3 from 1980 to 1980. The median age of
this community was 45 years in 1990 while in 1980, it was 48.
This city has a median age that is comparably younger than what is prevalent
in the state. Approximately, 32 percent of its population is considered senior,
that is, they constitute the age group of 65-plus. For the city of Guthrie
Center, nearly one out of every three citizen is already a senior citizen.
When the age cohort 44-64 is combined with the 65-plus, the percentage increases
to almost 50. This senior citizen age group and the next cohort will impact
the housing needs of this community with time.
Figure 2.6. Population changes, Guthrie Center.
From Figure 3 it can be seen that for the age cohort 0-17, 384 residents
were in this age category in 1980 compared to 363 residents in 1990. The
decrease here is not steep and substantial. For the age cohort 18-64, there
was a slight decline in population for this group, 79 persons. For Guthrie
Center, almost one out of every three female resident is either divorced
or widowed compared to one out of every ten for the male population. This
needs to be considered in the housing needs of the city.
Most residents of this city identified growing up here as a reason for choosing
to live here. Other reasons were identified as care for an aging relative
or affordable housing as reasons for living in the community.
THIS PARAGRAPH SEEMS VERY ODD AND OUT OF CHARACTER
GIVEN THE DESCRIPTION OF CENSUS DATA TO THIS POINT. IF YOU WANTED TO USE
A DIFFERENT SOURCE OF INFORMATION, YOU PROBABLY SHOULD CREATE A SUBHEADING
AND REPORT ON INFORMATION FROM OTHER SOURCES.
Table 2.3. Population characteristics, Guthrie Center
| Population characteristics |
1980 |
1990 |
| Total persons |
1713 |
1614 |
| Median age |
48 |
45 |
| Total number of males |
723 |
704 |
| Total number of females |
990 |
910 |
| White population |
1707 |
1603 |
| Others, nonwhite |
6 |
11 |
| Persons 0 - 17 age group |
384 |
363 |
| Persons 18 - 44 age group |
423 |
452 |
| Persons 45 - 64 age group |
391 |
287 |
| Persons 60 - 64 age group |
115 |
92 |
| Persons 65+ age group |
515 |
512 |
| Persons 85+ age group |
89 |
53 |
| Female, divorced/widowed |
288 |
279 |
| Male, divorced/widowed |
44 |
62 |
Housing Assessment
The housing stock showed a decrease of 26 units from 1980 to 1990. Older
housing stock will require modifications and remodeling so as to meet the
needs of the seniors increasingly with time. Other housing strategies will
need to be adopted in order to address the needs and concerns of this age
cohort of the population. Future home constructions will also be designed
with the needs of this age group in mind.
Total Housing Units
There was a net decrease of 26 housing units from 1980 to 1990. In 1990,
the total number of housing units were 808. This reduction in the housing
stock of the city is as a result of very few new homes being constructed.
Construction of moderate-priced homes is not considered profitable by many
developers in many small towns in Iowa. This is because of the prevailing
low rents and the low income of the residents.
Figure 2.7. Trend shows decline in owner occupied units, Guthrie Center.
Type of Housing Units
Of the 808 total housing units, 683 units were of single family detached
home. This represents nearly 85 percent. Owner occupied units numbered 527units
while renter occupied units were 190. For the city of Guthrie center, the
median year that its housing stock were built were 1946. Almost 45 percent
of its housing stock were built before 1940. Age of housing stock is one
of the indicators of the quality and condition of the housing stock. This
high percentage of an aging stock demonstrates the low construction activities
in this housing market.
Figure 2.8. Median value change, 1980-1990, Guthrie Center.
Pricing of Housing
The median value of owner-occupied housing unit in Guthrie center for
1990 was $27,500. In 1980, the value was $27,700. For comparison purpose,
the median value of owner-occupied housing in non-metro counties was $38,500
in 1990.THE COMPARISON YOU ARE MAKING HERE IS
UNCLEAR; IS THIS ALL NONMETRO COUNTIES IN IOWA?
Vacancy Rate
In 1990, the census-determined vacancy rate for the city of Guthrie center
was 11 percent. It is possible that this vacancy rate is a little lower than
the actual rate indicating a tighter housing market.
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?
Rehabilitation Needs
A common need that may exist in this community is the need for housing
rehabilitation and remodeling. The combination of an older housing stock
as indicated from the 1990 census data and an unwillingness to invest in
home maintenance or improvement perpetuates this condition.
IT IS LIKELY TO BE UNWILLINGNESS OR INABILITY (GIVEN
FINANCIAL AND PERSONAL RESOURCES)?
Table 2.4. Housing Characteristics, Guthrie Center
| Housing characteristics |
1980 |
1990 |
| Total housing units |
834 |
808 |
| Occupied housing units |
761 |
717 |
| Vacant housing units |
71 |
91 |
| Owner occupied housing units |
578 |
527 |
| Renter occupied housing units |
183 |
190 |
| Single family units |
715 |
683 |
| Median year built |
|
1946 |
| Units built before 1940 |
|
363 |
| Median value, owner units |
$27,500 |
$27,700 |
| Median gross rent |
$114 |
$284 |
THIS SECTION IS VERY WELL DONE. EACH TABLE AND
FIGURE NEEDS TO CITE SOURCES, OR THERE NEEDS TO BE A BLANKET STATEMENT IN
THE BEGINNING OF THE SECTION THAT ALL NUMBERS ARE TAKEN FROM
THEN,
OF COURSE, THESE CITATIONS MUST APPEAR IN THE BIBLIOGRAPHY.

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